Thun 3-8 Young Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 14 May 2026

Thun
3-8 HT 2-3
Young Boys
📅14/05/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Thun vs Young Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.96
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.33
No
38%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
6.89
2-3 Goals
39%
2.17
4-5 Goals
25%
2.37
6+ Goals
12%
4.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.9
1/2
6%
23.1
1/X
7%
11.9
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
5.79
X/2
11%
6.97
X/X
12%
6.56
2/1
7%
19.75
2/2
16%
3.86
2/X
6%
12.15
Value flag · X/1 at 5.79 — our 19% vs market 13.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
71%
-9.1pp
38%
BTTS No
29%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thun v Young Boys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Young Boys EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.97/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.55
+23% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
31.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
22.3 Crosses 19.2
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Thun vs Young Boys Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Young Boys
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.48 xG 2.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
221 Passes 302
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.03.2026 Young Boys Young Boys 1-2 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV
25.01.2026 Thun Thun 4-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
28.09.2025 Young Boys Young Boys 4-2 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSV
28.02.2023 Thun Thun 0-5 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSVK
08.07.2020 Young Boys Young Boys 4-0 HT 1-0 Thun Thun İSV
23.06.2020 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV

Thun 3-8 Young Boys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
3-8
AWAY Young Boys
1.83 xG 5.57
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 2
251 Passes 361
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 46
14 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thun vs Young Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys ran out comfortable winners over Thun 8-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Thun at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Thun had 43% of the ball to Young Boys's 57%, shots finished 15-25, expected goals 1.83 to 5.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Thun and 2.50 for Young Boys.

What was the final score of Thun vs Young Boys?

Thun 3-8 Young Boys in the Switzerland - Super League on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Young Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Thun 42%, draw 25%, Young Boys 33%. The final score 3-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
14 May 2026
17:30 Basel vs St. Gallen Analysis →
17:30 Sion vs Lugano Analysis →