Austria Wien II 1-2 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+3.6pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 33%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +12%
1.54/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.40
-3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
Crosses 14.3
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.11.2025 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-2 HT 0-1 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II AU2
25.02.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 4-2 HT 2-1 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II AU2
05.08.2022 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II 2-2 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
06.05.2022 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 5-1 HT 4-1 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II AU2
30.10.2021 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II 1-3 HT 1-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
02.04.2021 Austria Wien II Austria Wien II 1-2 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien II
1-2
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Austria Wien II vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kapfenberger SV nicked a narrow win over Austria Wien II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Austria Wien II at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Austria Wien II had 61% of the ball to Kapfenberger SV's 39%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kapfenberger SV led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Austria Wien II and 2.83 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Austria Wien II vs Kapfenberger SV?

Austria Wien II 1-2 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien II vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien II win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien II 49%, draw 21%, Kapfenberger SV 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austria Wien II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Wien II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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