St. Pölten 1-0 WSPG Wels — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.9pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY WSPG Wels EU Bookmakers 17%
-2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.30/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.68
+12% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
0W-1D-0L
AWAY WSPG Wels
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.11.2025 WSPG Wels 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten
1-0
AWAY WSPG Wels
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs WSPG Wels
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten squeezed past WSPG Wels 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, St. Pölten had 62% of the ball to WSPG Wels's 38%, shots finished 13-13.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs WSPG Wels?

St. Pölten 1-0 WSPG Wels in the Austria - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs WSPG Wels?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 59%, draw 19%, WSPG Wels 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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