Sturm Graz II 1-2 Rapid Wien II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.7pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien II EU Bookmakers 42%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.43/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/1.63
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
243 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Rapid Wien II
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 1-1 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
22.02.2025 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
10.08.2024 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 4-2 HT 3-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
07.04.2023 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-4 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
07.08.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-1 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien II nicked a narrow win over Sturm Graz II 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Rapid Wien II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Sturm Graz II and 1.20 for Rapid Wien II.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II?

Sturm Graz II 1-2 Rapid Wien II in the Austria - 1st Division on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Rapid Wien II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 35%, draw 26%, Rapid Wien II 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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