Bolivar 1-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 14 May 2026

📅14/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.28
Draw
13%
5.28
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.68
No
37%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
5%
2/1
12%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
74%
+1.4pp
13%
Draw
16%
-2.8pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
56%
+7.7pp
37%
BTTS No
44%
-7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
2.16/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.97
+38% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 78%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
21.4 Crosses 17.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.22 xG 1.39
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
337 Passes 190
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.12.2025 Bolivar Bolivar 1-4 HT 1-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLPLK
21.12.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-2 HT 0-2 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
05.12.2025 Bolivar Bolivar 5-2 HT 3-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
11.07.2025 Bolivar Bolivar 2-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLPLK
29.06.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
27.06.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-0 HT 1-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
1-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
0.95 xG 0.80
62% Ball Possession 38%
27 Total Shots 14
14 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
420 Passes 229
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
44 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar and Nacional Potosi couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Bolivar carried 75% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

On the day, Bolivar had 62% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 38%, shots finished 27-14, expected goals 0.95 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Bolivar and 1.83 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi?

Bolivar 1-1 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 14/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 75%, draw 13%, Nacional Potosi 12%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolivar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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