Bolivar 1-4 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup, 23 Dec 2025

📅23/12/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
79%
1.28
Draw
13%
5.71
Away
8%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
Over 2.5
69%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
2%
X/X
4%
2/1
14%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
79%
Home Win
74%
+5.2pp
13%
Draw
15%
-2.1pp
8%
Away Win
11%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 14%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.82/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.59
+36% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +42%
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
444 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 75%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
21.0 Crosses 9.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.25 xG 1.28
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
327 Passes 208
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.12.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-2 HT 0-2 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
05.12.2025 Bolivar Bolivar 5-2 HT 3-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
11.07.2025 Bolivar Bolivar 2-1 HT 1-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLPLK
29.06.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
27.06.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-0 HT 1-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
25.11.2024 Bolivar Bolivar 5-3 HT 2-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
1-4
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.09 xG 1.58
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
339 Passes 165
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi cruised past Bolivar 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bolivar at 79% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%) came in.

On the day, Bolivar had 64% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 36%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.09 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bolivar and 1.67 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi?

Bolivar 1-4 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - Profesyonel League Cup on 23/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 79%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 79%, draw 13%, Nacional Potosi 8%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bolivar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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