Stjarnan vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Stjarnan v Valur — Team-Based Signals
Stjarnan vs Valur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Stjarnan
İZL
2-0
HT 1-0
Valur
İZL
3-2
HT 2-0
Stjarnan
İZL
Stjarnan 3-2 Valur — Actual Match Statistics
Stjarnan squeezed past Valur 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Stjarnan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Stjarnan had 47% of the ball to Valur's 53%, shots finished 17-13, expected goals 2.24 to 1.80.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Stjarnan and 2.00 for Valur.
What was the final score of Stjarnan vs Valur?
Stjarnan 3-2 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs Valur?
Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 38%, draw 27%, Valur 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.