Aurora 3-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒03:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.9pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 28%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
2.01/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.80
+11% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 77%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
26.5 Crosses 9.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
221 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.03.2025 Aurora Aurora 0-1 HT 0-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ CSA
20.11.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 2-2 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
14.07.2024 Aurora Aurora 2-1 HT 2-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
3-1
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aurora beat Gualberto Villarroel SJ 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aurora as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aurora had 55% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 45%, shots finished 20-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aurora and 1.33 for Gualberto Villarroel SJ.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Aurora 3-1 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aurora 52%, draw 23%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aurora), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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