Independiente Del Valle vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Del Valle v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Del Valle vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Libertad
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
Independiente Del Valle 1-1 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle and Libertad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Independiente Del Valle carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 59% of the ball to Libertad's 41%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.76 to 1.20.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.60 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Libertad?
Independiente Del Valle 1-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 56%, draw 26%, Libertad 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No went the other way.