Plaza Colonia 2-2 Cerro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒00:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.5pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.0pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro EU Bookmakers 27%
-19% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.05/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.16
-28% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
341 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plaza Colonia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cerro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.02.2025 Cerro Cerro 0-1 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
04.12.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
25.07.2023 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
08.05.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
04.02.2021 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
08.08.2020 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plaza Colonia
2-2
AWAY Cerro
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Plaza Colonia vs Cerro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plaza Colonia and Cerro couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Plaza Colonia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Plaza Colonia had 46% of the ball to Cerro's 54%, shots finished 9-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plaza Colonia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Plaza Colonia and 0.67 for Cerro.

What was the final score of Plaza Colonia vs Cerro?

Plaza Colonia 2-2 Cerro in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plaza Colonia vs Cerro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plaza Colonia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Plaza Colonia 44%, draw 27%, Cerro 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Plaza Colonia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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