Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Racing Club Montevideo v Nacional de Football — Team-Based Signals
Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Nacional de Football
URU
2-2
HT 1-1
Nacional de Football
URU
3-1
HT 2-0
Racing Club Montevideo
URU
Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 Nacional de Football — Actual Match Statistics
Nacional de Football edged past Racing Club Montevideo 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional de Football as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 39% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 61%, shots finished 8-18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 2.33 for Nacional de Football.
What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football?
Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Nacional de Football?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 24%, draw 26%, Nacional de Football 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional de Football) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.