Boston River 1-1 Danubio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 14 Jun 2025

📅14/06/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
13%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.5pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston River EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Danubio EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
1.47/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.06
+24% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston River
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Danubio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Danubio Danubio 1-2 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
08.09.2024 Danubio Danubio 2-0 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
22.07.2024 Boston River Boston River 1-2 HT 1-0 Danubio Danubio URU
24.02.2024 Boston River Boston River 0-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
24.10.2023 Danubio Danubio 1-1 HT 0-0 Boston River Boston River URU
02.07.2023 Boston River Boston River 1-0 HT 0-0 Danubio Danubio URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston River
1-1
AWAY Danubio
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boston River vs Danubio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston River and Danubio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Boston River had 56% of the ball to Danubio's 44%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boston River and 1.00 for Danubio.

What was the final score of Boston River vs Danubio?

Boston River 1-1 Danubio in the Uruguay - Premier League on 14/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston River vs Danubio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Danubio win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Boston River 33%, draw 27%, Danubio 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Danubio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danubio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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