Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Dire Dawa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 14 Jun 2026

📅14/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.64
Over 2.5
33%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.88
No
61%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
57%
+9.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
43%
-9.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-10.1pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
1.16/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.05
+14% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.01.2026 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-0 HT 0-0 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
07.03.2025 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema ETH
10.02.2025 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-3 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
17.05.2024 Dire Dawa Kenema Dire Dawa Kenema 0-5 HT 0-2 Ethiopian Insurance Ethiopian Insurance ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ethiopian Insurance
1-0
AWAY Dire Dawa Kenema
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ethiopian Insurance vs Dire Dawa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance squeezed past Dire Dawa Kenema 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ethiopian Insurance as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Ethiopian Insurance had 41% of the ball to Dire Dawa Kenema's 59%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ethiopian Insurance had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Ethiopian Insurance and 0.00 for Dire Dawa Kenema.

What was the final score of Ethiopian Insurance vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Ethiopian Insurance 1-0 Dire Dawa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 14/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ethiopian Insurance vs Dire Dawa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ethiopian Insurance 47%, draw 27%, Dire Dawa Kenema 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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