Patronato 1-0 Colon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.17
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.48
Over
33%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
39%
2-3
39%
4-5
14%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
28%
+7.2pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
64%
+3.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
36%
-3.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.6pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patronato The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Colon The Market 45%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.27/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.11
+131% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patronato
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Colon
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
239 Passes 294
68% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Colon Colon 4-0 HT 3-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
05.10.2022 Colon Colon 1-0 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJ
23.06.2022 Patronato Patronato 1-1 HT 0-0 Colon Colon ARJK
02.11.2021 Patronato Patronato 2-0 HT 2-0 Colon Colon ARJ
27.07.2019 Colon Colon 0-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJ
11.08.2018 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Colon Colon ARJ
POST-MATCH Patronato vs Colon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patronato edged past Colon 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Patronato made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Patronato and 1.00 for Colon.

What was the final score of Patronato vs Colon?

Patronato 1-0 Colon in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patronato vs Colon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patronato win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Patronato 35%, draw 31%, Colon 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patronato), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Patronato) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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