San Martin Tucuman 1-0 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.51
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.1pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.6pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.3pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+0.9pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.36/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/0.73
+7% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +65%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin Tucuman
0W-0D-1L
AWAY San Miguel
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Corners 4
26.02.2024 San Miguel San Miguel 1-0 HT 1-0 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Martin Tucuman vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Martin Tucuman squeezed past San Miguel 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 34% / 26% — and on the day San Martin Tucuman made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

What was the final score of San Martin Tucuman vs San Miguel?

San Martin Tucuman 1-0 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin Tucuman vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split San Martin Tucuman 40%, draw 34%, San Miguel 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Martin Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Martin Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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