Blue Goose 2-3 Mississippi Brilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
62%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
3.17
Over Pick
69%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.46
No
36%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
45%
4-5
25%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
14%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 69%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
16%
Home Win
18%
-1.6pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
62%
Away Win
64%
-2.1pp
31%
Under 2.5
28%
+3.0pp
69%
Over 2.5
72%
-3.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
64%
-0.2pp
36%
BTTS No
36%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blue Goose The Market 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Mississippi Brilla The Market 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -29%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
313 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Blue Goose vs Mississippi Brilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mississippi Brilla squeezed past Blue Goose 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mississippi Brilla as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

What was the final score of Blue Goose vs Mississippi Brilla?

Blue Goose 2-3 Mississippi Brilla in the USA - USL League 2 on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blue Goose vs Mississippi Brilla?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mississippi Brilla win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Blue Goose 16%, draw 22%, Mississippi Brilla 62%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mississippi Brilla), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mississippi Brilla) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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