River Light 2-1 Chicago City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 14 Jul 2024

📅14/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.45
Draw
29%
4.62
Away
27%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
3.14
Over 2.5
52%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
64%
-20.4pp
29%
Draw
18%
+11.1pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+9.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
28%
+19.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
72%
-19.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.7pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Light EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Chicago City EU Bookmakers 21%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +69% / +69%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+32% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +127%
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 10
14 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
377 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Light
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chicago City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
19.06.2024 Chicago City Chicago City 1-3 HT 0-3 River Light USL2
POST-MATCH River Light vs Chicago City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Light edged past Chicago City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had River Light as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of River Light vs Chicago City?

River Light 2-1 Chicago City in the USA - USL League 2 on 14/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Light vs Chicago City?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Light win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split River Light 44%, draw 29%, Chicago City 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Light), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (River Light) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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