İA Akranes 1-0 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 14 Jul 2025

📅14/07/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
33%
4.08
Away
38%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%
1.31
No
31%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
12%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
28%
+1.0pp
33%
Draw
21%
+11.4pp
38%
Away Win
51%
-12.3pp
69%
BTTS Yes
72%
-3.0pp
31%
BTTS No
28%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İA Akranes EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 55%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.61/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.77
-4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 82%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.6
22.2 Crosses 24.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İA Akranes
1W-2D-3L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.74 xG 2.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 5
275 Passes 347
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 30
32 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2025 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 5-0 HT 2-0 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
01.09.2024 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 4-2 HT 3-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
18.06.2024 İA Akranes İA Akranes 2-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
08.03.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-1 HT 2-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZLK
04.09.2022 İA Akranes İA Akranes 4-4 HT 2-3 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
15.06.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 3-3 HT 1-1 İA Akranes İA Akranes İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İA Akranes
1-0
AWAY KR Reykjavik
0.74 xG 0.97
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
85 Passes 385
47% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 24
10 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İA Akranes edged past KR Reykjavik 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 33% / 38%) promised a tight game; İA Akranes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (69%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, İA Akranes had 27% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 73%, shots finished 5-15, expected goals 0.74 to 0.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İA Akranes and 3.33 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of İA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik?

İA Akranes 1-0 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İA Akranes vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated an KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split İA Akranes 29%, draw 33%, KR Reykjavik 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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