İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 14 Jul 2025

İB Vestmannaeyjar
1-0 HT 0-0
Stjarnan
📅14/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2025

İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
41%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
41%
Away Win
37%
+4.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.1pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İB Vestmannaeyjar v Stjarnan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -16%
1.46/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.64
-1% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
18.6 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.93 xG 2.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
244 Passes 359
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 34
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.04.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-3 HT 1-2 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
08.02.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-2 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZLK
05.08.2023 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 0-2 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
13.05.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 1-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
19.04.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-0 HT 0-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZK
28.08.2022 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 3-1 HT 2-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL

İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 Stjarnan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İB Vestmannaeyjar
1-0
AWAY Stjarnan
1.38 xG 0.46
32% Ball Possession 68%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
150 Passes 434
62% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İB Vestmannaeyjar edged past Stjarnan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Stjarnan at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, İB Vestmannaeyjar had 32% of the ball to Stjarnan's 68%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.38 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for İB Vestmannaeyjar and 2.17 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan?

İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-0 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İB Vestmannaeyjar vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split İB Vestmannaeyjar 34%, draw 25%, Stjarnan 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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