Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Lanus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Jul 2025

📅14/07/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
31%
2.7
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.33
Over 2.5
33%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.69
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
13%
8.28
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
6.32
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.2
X/1
7%
6.77
X/2
14%
4.54
X/X
17%
2.97
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
21%
3.49
2/X
8%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.0pp
31%
Draw
34%
-2.3pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
72%
-4.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
28%
+4.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+5.2pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Lanus EU Bookmakers 45%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.24/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.08
-5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +10%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
16.7 Crosses 18.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Riestra
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Lanus
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.40 xG 0.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
188 Passes 375
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.01.2025 Lanus Lanus 0-2 HT 0-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJ
09.08.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 3-1 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
1-0
AWAY Lanus
0.40 xG 1.01
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
148 Passes 379
54% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 31
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra edged past Lanus 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 31% / 39% — and on the day Deportivo Riestra made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 35% of the ball to Lanus's 65%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.40 to 1.01 — the balance of chances actually favoured Lanus.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Riestra had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Deportivo Riestra and 0.50 for Lanus.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus?

Deportivo Riestra 1-0 Lanus in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 30%, draw 31%, Lanus 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lanus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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