Lanus 0-2 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
21.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.5 — our 34% vs market 32.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.95
X/1
13%
4.03
X/2
8%
9.59
X/X
11%
4.3
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
11%
8.46
2/X
7%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.88/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.15
+6% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 71%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
24.3 Crosses 11.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.77 xG 4.24
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 26
4 Shots on Target 14
4 Corners 9
269 Passes 256
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 43
21 Crosses 32
0 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 3-1 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
0-2
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
0.56 xG 0.55
72% Ball Possession 28%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
481 Passes 121
85% Pass Accuracy 53%
22 Box Touches 21
34 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra got the better of Lanus 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lanus at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Lanus had 72% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 28%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.56 to 0.55.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Deportivo Riestra?

Lanus 0-2 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lanus 48%, draw 28%, Deportivo Riestra 24%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lanus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lanus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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