Atletico Tigre 3-0 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
45%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.45
Over 2.5
39%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.75
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
5.73
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.4
X/1
13%
6.61
X/2
20%
4.56
X/X
11%
3.43
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.26
2/X
10%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.7pp
45%
Away Win
41%
+3.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.08/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.11
+19% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.7 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tigre
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 0.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 Passes 290
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2024 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
27.02.2024 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 2-2 HT 2-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
30.09.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 0-0 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
22.06.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-1 HT 0-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
18.09.2022 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 2-0 HT 2-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
30.04.2022 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 3-2 HT 3-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tigre
3-0
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
1.52 xG 0.25
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 3
167 Passes 459
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tigre swept aside Velez Sarsfield 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Velez Sarsfield at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Tigre had 32% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 68%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.52 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Tigre and 1.17 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Atletico Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield?

Atletico Tigre 3-0 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tigre vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tigre 28%, draw 28%, Velez Sarsfield 45%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Velez Sarsfield), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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