Defensa y Justicia 0-1 Banfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Jan 2025

Defensa y Justicia
0-1 HT 0-0
Banfield
📅24/01/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Defensa y Justicia vs Banfield Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.59
Over 2.5
32%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.06
No
65%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
41%
2.33
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
14%
4.57
6+ Goals
7%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.33 — our 41% vs market 34.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
12%
8.23
X/X
19%
4.01
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
5%
7.21
2/X
6%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
59%
+9.5pp
32%
Over 2.5
41%
-9.5pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.1pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Defensa y Justicia v Banfield — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Banfield EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.44/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.25
+13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 71%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
19.0 Crosses 17.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Defensa y Justicia vs Banfield Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensa y Justicia
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Banfield
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.03 xG 0.93
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
256 Passes 268
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.08.2024 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
12.04.2023 Banfield Banfield 0-3 HT 0-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
27.08.2022 Banfield Banfield 1-2 HT 0-2 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
06.03.2022 Banfield Banfield 2-3 HT 1-2 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
21.09.2021 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ
31.08.2019 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 0-0 HT 0-0 Banfield Banfield ARJ

Defensa y Justicia 0-1 Banfield — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensa y Justicia
0-1
AWAY Banfield
1.32 xG 0.40
69% Ball Possession 31%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
451 Passes 158
83% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 14
35 Crosses 7
POST-MATCH Defensa y Justicia vs Banfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banfield squeezed past Defensa y Justicia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Defensa y Justicia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Defensa y Justicia had 69% of the ball to Banfield's 31%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.32 to 0.40 — on chances, Defensa y Justicia could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Defensa y Justicia and 0.50 for Banfield.

What was the final score of Defensa y Justicia vs Banfield?

Defensa y Justicia 0-1 Banfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensa y Justicia vs Banfield?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Defensa y Justicia 45%, draw 30%, Banfield 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Defensa y Justicia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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