Newells Old Boys 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 24 Jan 2025

📅24/01/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.41
Over 2.5
36%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
1.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
6.27
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.95
X/1
16%
4.55
X/2
11%
6.51
X/X
15%
3.3
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
5.75
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.6pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
67%
-3.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
33%
+3.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia EU Bookmakers 30%
-5% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.92/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.84
-23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +58%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
22.9 Crosses 15.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newells Old Boys
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.47 xG 0.72
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
333 Passes 146
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
29 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.07.2024 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia Independiente Rivadavia ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newells Old Boys
0-1
AWAY Independiente Rivadavia
1.93 xG 1.00
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 7
427 Passes 167
87% Pass Accuracy 72%
32 Box Touches 18
38 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Newells Old Boys vs Independiente Rivadavia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Rivadavia nicked a narrow win over Newells Old Boys 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Independiente Rivadavia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Newells Old Boys had 68% of the ball to Independiente Rivadavia's 32%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 1.93 to 1.00 — the balance of chances actually favoured Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Newells Old Boys vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Newells Old Boys 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia in the Argentina - Premier League on 24/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newells Old Boys vs Independiente Rivadavia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newells Old Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Newells Old Boys 37%, draw 31%, Independiente Rivadavia 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Newells Old Boys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newells Old Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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