River Plate 3-1 Platense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 14 Jul 2025

📅14/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.16
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
5.25
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.15
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
18.0
X/1
20%
3.74
X/2
9%
11.05
X/X
14%
4.13
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
10%
10.75
2/X
6%
20.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.8pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Plate EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Platense EU Bookmakers 18%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +17%
1.87/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.23
+12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 66%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
23.5 Crosses 16.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME River Plate
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Platense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.76 xG 0.67
72% Ball Possession 28%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
512 Passes 127
83% Pass Accuracy 54%
29 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.05.2025 River Plate River Plate 1-1 HT 0-1 Platense Platense ARJ
26.01.2025 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 1-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
07.10.2024 Platense Platense 0-0 HT 0-0 River Plate River Plate ARJ
22.05.2023 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ARJ
13.10.2022 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 0-0 Platense Platense ARJ
09.05.2022 River Plate River Plate 2-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME River Plate
3-1
AWAY Platense
66% Ball Possession 34%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
398 Passes 162
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
POST-MATCH River Plate vs Platense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Plate beat Platense 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had River Plate as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, River Plate had 66% of the ball to Platense's 34%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, River Plate had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for River Plate and 0.83 for Platense.

What was the final score of River Plate vs Platense?

River Plate 3-1 Platense in the Argentina - Premier League on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Plate vs Platense?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Plate win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split River Plate 48%, draw 28%, Platense 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Plate) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (River Plate) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
14 Jul 2025
00:45 Argentinos Juniors vs Boca Juniors Analysis →
22:30 Deportivo Riestra vs Lanus Analysis →