FK Dainava Alytus 0-3 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 14 Jul 2025

📅14/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
20%
3.28
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.0pp
20%
Draw
27%
-6.7pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 53%
-21% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.71/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.38
-52% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
241 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.06.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
16.04.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-3 HT 1-2 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
25.08.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
22.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
28.04.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
10.03.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
0-3
AWAY FK Panevezys
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys swept aside FK Dainava Alytus 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Panevezys as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, FK Dainava Alytus had 51% of the ball to FK Panevezys's 49%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.33 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs FK Panevezys?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-3 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 30%, draw 20%, FK Panevezys 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Panevezys), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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