Leon vs Atletico San Luis Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leon v Atletico San Luis — Team-Based Signals
Leon vs Atletico San Luis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Leon
MEK
3-0
HT 1-0
Leon
MEK
1-3
HT 1-3
Atletico San Luis
MEK
Leon 0-1 Atletico San Luis — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico San Luis squeezed past Leon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Leon at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Leon had 46% of the ball to Atletico San Luis's 54%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.30 to 1.41.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leon and 1.67 for Atletico San Luis.
What was the final score of Leon vs Atletico San Luis?
Leon 0-1 Atletico San Luis in the Mexico - Primera on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leon vs Atletico San Luis?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Leon 50%, draw 23%, Atletico San Luis 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leon) went the other way.