Pachuca vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
Pachuca vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-2
Monterrey
MEK
1-2
HT 1-1
Monterrey
MEK
Pachuca 3-0 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
Pachuca swept aside Monterrey 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pachuca as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
On the day, Pachuca had 41% of the ball to Monterrey's 59%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.44 to 0.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterrey led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pachuca and 1.83 for Monterrey.
What was the final score of Pachuca vs Monterrey?
Pachuca 3-0 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 14/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca vs Monterrey?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pachuca 47%, draw 28%, Monterrey 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.