Cardiff City U21 4-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 14 Aug 2026

📅14/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.27
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
37%
4-5
30%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
40%
+6.6pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21 The Market 40%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.89/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+23% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
360 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 425 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City U21
0W-2D-4L
AWAY AFC Bournemouth U21
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
02.02.2026 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 2-2 HT 0-2 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
28.10.2025 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 1-2 HT 0-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
11.03.2025 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 4-0 HT 0-0 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
03.12.2024 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
15.03.2024 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
12.01.2024 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 3-2 HT 1-0 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 swept aside AFC Bournemouth U21 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cardiff City U21 as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Bournemouth U21 led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cardiff City U21 and 2.17 for AFC Bournemouth U21.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Cardiff City U21 4-1 AFC Bournemouth U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 47%, draw 19%, AFC Bournemouth U21 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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