Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elfsborg v Vasteras SK FK — Team-Based Signals
Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Elfsborg 3-0 Vasteras SK FK — Actual Match Statistics
Elfsborg swept aside Vasteras SK FK 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.29 to 0.51.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Elfsborg had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Elfsborg and 0.67 for Vasteras SK FK.
What was the final score of Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK?
Elfsborg 3-0 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs Vasteras SK FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 53%, draw 23%, Vasteras SK FK 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.