CSKA 1948 Sofia 4-1 Cherno More Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 14 Aug 2026

📅14/08/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.68
Over
45%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.97
No
52%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
48%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cherno More Varna The Market 24%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.75 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.68
1.10 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.29
Strong Attack Strength Bad
Weak Defense Strength Great
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cherno More Varna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2026 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-4 HT 0-3 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
09.11.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
24.11.2024 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 0-4 HT 0-2 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
19.07.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
15.03.2024 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 2-1 HT 1-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
22.09.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 0-1 Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA 1948 Sofia
4 - 1
AWAY Cherno More Varna
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More Varna
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

CSKA 1948 Sofia overpowered Cherno More Varna 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA 1948 Sofia as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (55%) never looked like landing.

By the numbers, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cherno More Varna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for CSKA 1948 Sofia and 1.33 for Cherno More Varna.

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Result & Final Score

CSKA 1948 Sofia 4 - 1 Cherno More Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 14/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More Varna Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split CSKA 1948 Sofia 52%, draw 28%, Cherno More Varna 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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