Ejea 2-0 Alfaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Sep 2024

Ejea
2-0 HT 1-0
Alfaro
📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.74
Over 2.5
56%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.7pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
54%
-10.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
46%
+10.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ejea EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfaro EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.16/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.49
+55% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ejea
2-0
AWAY Alfaro
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ejea vs Alfaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ejea saw off Alfaro 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ejea as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ejea had 60% of the ball to Alfaro's 40%, shots finished 16-2.

What was the final score of Ejea vs Alfaro?

Ejea 2-0 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ejea vs Alfaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ejea win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ejea 46%, draw 22%, Alfaro 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ejea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ejea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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