Guijuelo 0-1 Salamanca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.44
No
51%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.3pp
29%
Draw
33%
-4.0pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
37%
+12.2pp
51%
BTTS No
63%
-12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guijuelo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Salamanca EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.29/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.20
+1% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guijuelo
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Salamanca
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2023 Salamanca Salamanca 1-3 HT 1-2 Guijuelo Guijuelo HAZ
30.01.2021 Salamanca Salamanca 2-2 HT 1-2 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS3
01.11.2020 Guijuelo Guijuelo 2-0 HT 1-0 Salamanca Salamanca İS3
01.03.2020 Salamanca Salamanca 0-0 HT 0-0 Guijuelo Guijuelo İS3
13.10.2019 Guijuelo Guijuelo 1-2 HT 1-2 Salamanca Salamanca İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guijuelo
0-1
AWAY Salamanca
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guijuelo vs Salamanca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salamanca edged past Guijuelo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Guijuelo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Guijuelo had 61% of the ball to Salamanca's 39%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guijuelo had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Guijuelo and 1.00 for Salamanca.

What was the final score of Guijuelo vs Salamanca?

Guijuelo 0-1 Salamanca in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guijuelo vs Salamanca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guijuelo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Guijuelo 48%, draw 29%, Salamanca 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Guijuelo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guijuelo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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