Lleida Esportiu 1-0 Cornella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cornella EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.76/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+13% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 239 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lleida Esportiu
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Cornella
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2021 Cornella Cornella 0-1 HT 0-1 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS3
21.11.2020 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 2-3 HT 1-0 Cornella Cornella İS3
15.12.2019 Cornella Cornella 1-0 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS3
POST-MATCH Lleida Esportiu vs Cornella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lleida Esportiu squeezed past Cornella 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lleida Esportiu as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cornella led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lleida Esportiu and 1.33 for Cornella.

What was the final score of Lleida Esportiu vs Cornella?

Lleida Esportiu 1-0 Cornella in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lleida Esportiu vs Cornella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lleida Esportiu win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lleida Esportiu 50%, draw 25%, Cornella 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lleida Esportiu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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