Darmstadt 98 1-1 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.94
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.14
6+ Goals
11%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.62
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
21%
4.57
X/2
8%
7.5
X/X
14%
5.15
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
11%
5.23
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Darmstadt 98 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -2%
1.54/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.62
-17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
329 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
22.0 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Darmstadt 98
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Braunschweig
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.31 xG 1.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
366 Passes 238
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
12.02.2023 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 2-1 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
07.08.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 0-1 HT 0-0 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
20.03.2021 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-1 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
27.11.2020 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 4-0 HT 4-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
15.04.2018 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 1-1 HT 0-1 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
04.11.2017 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-2 HT 1-1 Darmstadt 98 Darmstadt 98 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Darmstadt 98
1-1
AWAY Braunschweig
1.66 xG 0.94
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 10
261 Passes 364
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Darmstadt 98 vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Darmstadt 98 and Braunschweig shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Darmstadt 98 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Darmstadt 98 had 43% of the ball to Braunschweig's 57%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.66 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darmstadt 98 had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Darmstadt 98 and 0.83 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Darmstadt 98 vs Braunschweig?

Darmstadt 98 1-1 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Darmstadt 98 vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Darmstadt 98 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Darmstadt 98 46%, draw 29%, Braunschweig 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Darmstadt 98) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Darmstadt 98) ✓ Under 2.5
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