Hannover 96 3-1 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.6
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
20%
4.54
X/2
9%
7.4
X/X
12%
5.4
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
11%
5.11
2/X
6%
13.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 34.0 — our 7% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.85/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.54
+11% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 74%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
20.7 Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.88 xG 1.40
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
322 Passes 229
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-1 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
06.10.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-1 HT 1-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
28.01.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-3 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
15.07.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-1 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
30.01.2017 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
05.08.2016 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-4 HT 0-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
3-1
AWAY Kaiserslautern
2.37 xG 1.39
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
285 Passes 282
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
45 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 beat Kaiserslautern 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hannover 96 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 49% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 51%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 2.37 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaiserslautern led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.50 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern?

Hannover 96 3-1 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 46%, draw 27%, Kaiserslautern 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hannover 96), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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