Hannover 96 1-1 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2024

Hannover 96
1-1 HT 0-0
Kaiserslautern
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
13%
10.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.17 — our 27% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.47
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
19%
4.41
X/2
11%
8.08
X/X
9%
5.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
2/2
10%
5.76
2/X
6%
13.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hannover 96 v Kaiserslautern — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -18%
1.90/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.47
+22% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
418 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.3 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 1.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
321 Passes 225
72% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-1 HT 1-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
28.01.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-3 HT 1-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
15.07.2022 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 2-1 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
30.01.2017 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-0 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
05.08.2016 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-4 HT 0-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
05.05.2012 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-1 HT 1-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL1

Hannover 96 1-1 Kaiserslautern — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
1-1
AWAY Kaiserslautern
1.03 xG 0.97
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
330 Passes 249
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 and Kaiserslautern couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hannover 96 at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 55% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 45%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.03 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.50 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern?

Hannover 96 1-1 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 49%, draw 25%, Kaiserslautern 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hannover 96), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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