Hansa Rostock 1-0 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2024

Hansa Rostock
1-0 HT 1-0
Greuther Fürth
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hansa Rostock vs Greuther Fürth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.22
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.81 — our 25% vs market 21.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.18
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
13%
6.32
X/2
13%
5.24
X/X
12%
4.82
2/1
6%
29.5
2/2
19%
3.2
2/X
7%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hansa Rostock v Greuther Fürth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 43%
-7% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.32/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.41
-41% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
22.7 Crosses 18.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Hansa Rostock vs Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.21
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
185 Passes 316
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.10.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
22.04.2023 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-0 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
14.10.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-2 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
06.05.2012 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
03.12.2011 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
27.02.2010 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2

Hansa Rostock 1-0 Greuther Fürth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
1-0
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.33 xG 0.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
387 Passes 396
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hansa Rostock edged past Greuther Fürth 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; Hansa Rostock found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 49% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 51%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 2.33 to 0.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hansa Rostock's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.50 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Greuther Fürth?

Hansa Rostock 1-0 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greuther Fürth win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 35%, draw 26%, Greuther Fürth 40%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greuther Fürth) ✗ BTTS Yes
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