Elversberg 0-2 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 16 Mar 2024

Elversberg
0-2 HT 0-1
Holstein Kiel
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.38
Over 2.5
53%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.71
6+ Goals
10%
6.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.0
1/2
6%
22.7
1/X
7%
12.2
X/1
12%
6.69
X/2
13%
5.44
X/X
7%
5.57
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
27.0
2/2
20%
3.0
2/X
10%
12.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 7% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.6pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Elversberg v Holstein Kiel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.21/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.41
+16% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
290 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
14.4 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9

Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.32 xG 2.07
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
353 Passes 480
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 35
3 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-1 HT 1-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
22.03.2014 Elversberg Elversberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL3
28.09.2013 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-2 HT 0-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL3

Elversberg 0-2 Holstein Kiel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
0-2
AWAY Holstein Kiel
0.41 xG 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
334 Passes 410
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel saw off Elversberg 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Holstein Kiel found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Elversberg had 46% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 54%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.41 to 1.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Elversberg had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elversberg and 0.67 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel?

Elversberg 0-2 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holstein Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 37%, draw 24%, Holstein Kiel 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstein Kiel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holstein Kiel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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