14/09/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Djoliba vs ASKO de Kara Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
53%
27%
Draw
27%
31%
Away Win
19%
55%
Under 2.5
62%
45%
Over 2.5
38%
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
49%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Djoliba v ASKO de Kara — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Djoliba
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
ASKO de Kara
EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
331 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
296 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Djoliba vs ASKO de Kara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Djoliba squeezed past ASKO de Kara 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Djoliba as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Djoliba vs ASKO de Kara?
Djoliba 1-0 ASKO de Kara in the CAF Champions League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Djoliba vs ASKO de Kara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Djoliba win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Djoliba 42%, draw 27%, ASKO de Kara 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Djoliba), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Djoliba)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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14 Sep 2024