Red Arrows 0-2 TP Mazembe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
39%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-4.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
35%
+4.8pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Red Arrows EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY TP Mazembe EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Red Arrows
0-2
AWAY TP Mazembe
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Red Arrows vs TP Mazembe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TP Mazembe saw off Red Arrows 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; TP Mazembe found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Red Arrows had 55% of the ball to TP Mazembe's 45%, shots finished 14-9.

What was the final score of Red Arrows vs TP Mazembe?

Red Arrows 0-2 TP Mazembe in the CAF Champions League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Red Arrows vs TP Mazembe?

Before kick-off our model rated an TP Mazembe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Red Arrows 33%, draw 28%, TP Mazembe 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TP Mazembe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TP Mazembe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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