Mbabane Swallows 0-4 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
60%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
7%
+13.2pp
20%
Draw
14%
+5.9pp
60%
Away Win
79%
-19.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mbabane Swallows EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 568 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mbabane Swallows
0-4
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns
23% Ball Possession 77%
2 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 11
0 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mbabane Swallows vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns swept aside Mbabane Swallows 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Mbabane Swallows had 23% of the ball to Mamelodi Sundowns's 77%, shots finished 2-19.

What was the final score of Mbabane Swallows vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Mbabane Swallows 0-4 Mamelodi Sundowns in the CAF Champions League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mbabane Swallows vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Mbabane Swallows 20%, draw 20%, Mamelodi Sundowns 60%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ BTTS No
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