Galaxy FC 0-2 Orlando Pirates — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.69
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
38%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
24%
+15.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
38%
Away Win
49%
-11.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galaxy FC EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando Pirates EU Bookmakers 53%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 473 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galaxy FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Orlando Pirates
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
22% Ball Possession 78%
5 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2023 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates 1-0 HT 0-0 Galaxy FC Galaxy FC AŞL
17.09.2023 Galaxy FC Galaxy FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates AŞL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galaxy FC
0-2
AWAY Orlando Pirates
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galaxy FC vs Orlando Pirates
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando Pirates beat Galaxy FC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Orlando Pirates found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Galaxy FC had 44% of the ball to Orlando Pirates's 56%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Galaxy FC and 0.50 for Orlando Pirates.

What was the final score of Galaxy FC vs Orlando Pirates?

Galaxy FC 0-2 Orlando Pirates in the CAF Champions League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galaxy FC vs Orlando Pirates?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galaxy FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Galaxy FC 39%, draw 23%, Orlando Pirates 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Galaxy FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galaxy FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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