Poole Town 2-3 Taunton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.7pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Taunton Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.97
+27% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Taunton Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.08.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Taunton Town Taunton Town İNGNLP
27.11.2021 Taunton Town Taunton Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
14.09.2021 Poole Town Poole Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Taunton Town Taunton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Taunton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Taunton Town nicked a narrow win over Poole Town 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Taunton Town made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Poole Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Poole Town and 1.00 for Taunton Town.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Taunton Town?

Poole Town 2-3 Taunton Town in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Taunton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 38%, draw 25%, Taunton Town 37%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Poole Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
14 Sep 2024
14:30 Lordswood vs Sittingbourne Analysis →
15:00 Cray Wanderers vs Wingate & Finchley Analysis →
15:00 Bognor Regis Town vs Margate Analysis →
17:00 Buxton vs Barwell Analysis →
17:00 Worksop Town vs Basford United Analysis →
17:00 AFC Hornchurch vs Hashtag United Analysis →