Winchester City 1-1 Hungerford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.2pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.1pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.9pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.2pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 42%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.74/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.00
+11% / -71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winchester City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hungerford Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
06.04.2024 Winchester City Winchester City 1-0 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town İNGNLP
14.11.2023 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 3-5 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town FAK
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs Hungerford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winchester City and Hungerford Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Winchester City and 2.33 for Hungerford Town.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs Hungerford Town?

Winchester City 1-1 Hungerford Town in the England - FA Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs Hungerford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hungerford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 35%, draw 27%, Hungerford Town 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hungerford Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hungerford Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FAK More England - FA Cup
14 Sep 2024
14:30 Lordswood vs Sittingbourne Analysis →
15:00 Cray Wanderers vs Wingate & Finchley Analysis →
15:00 Bognor Regis Town vs Margate Analysis →
17:00 Buxton vs Barwell Analysis →
17:00 Worksop Town vs Basford United Analysis →
17:00 AFC Hornchurch vs Hashtag United Analysis →