Winchester City 1-0 Hungerford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-5.0pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.4pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.8pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winchester City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Hungerford Town EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.47/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/2.51
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / -41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winchester City
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hungerford Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.11.2023 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town 2-2 HT 1-0 Winchester City Winchester City İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Winchester City Winchester City 3-5 Hungerford Town Hungerford Town FAK
POST-MATCH Winchester City vs Hungerford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winchester City nicked a narrow win over Hungerford Town 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Winchester City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hungerford Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Winchester City and 3.50 for Hungerford Town.

What was the final score of Winchester City vs Hungerford Town?

Winchester City 1-0 Hungerford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winchester City vs Hungerford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hungerford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Winchester City 34%, draw 30%, Hungerford Town 36%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hungerford Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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