FC Gifu 1-2 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.0pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gifu EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.22/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.01
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 20.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Gifu
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
16.09.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
18.06.2023 FC Gifu FC Gifu 2-1 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
30.10.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Gifu FC Gifu JAP3
15.05.2022 FC Gifu FC Gifu 2-0 HT 1-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
31.10.2020 FC Gifu FC Gifu 1-1 HT 1-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Gifu
1-2
AWAY Sagamihara
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
374 Passes 359
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Gifu vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara squeezed past FC Gifu 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Sagamihara made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Gifu had 50% of the ball to Sagamihara's 50%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Gifu had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Gifu and 0.67 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of FC Gifu vs Sagamihara?

FC Gifu 1-2 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gifu vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Gifu 36%, draw 27%, Sagamihara 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✗ Under 2.5
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