Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +16%
1.52/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.87
+12% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +50%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Nara Club
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 1-1 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
26.08.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 2-0 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
19.03.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 0-3 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1-1
AWAY Nara Club
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
255 Passes 303
67% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano and Nara Club couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Parceiro Nagano at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 47% of the ball to Nara Club's 53%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nara Club led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 2.00 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Nara Club?

Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 42%, draw 26%, Nara Club 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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