Imabari 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.0pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.62/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.40
-5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 25.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Imabari
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-2 HT 1-1 Imabari Imabari JAP3
26.08.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-1 HT 0-0 Imabari Imabari JAP3
11.06.2023 Imabari Imabari 0-2 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
23.10.2022 Imabari Imabari 1-2 HT 1-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
29.05.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 2-1 Imabari Imabari JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
1-1
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
235 Passes 341
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Imabari vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Imabari and Matsumoto Yamaga couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Imabari at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Imabari had 43% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 57%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Imabari and 1.60 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Imabari vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Imabari 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Imabari 50%, draw 25%, Matsumoto Yamaga 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Imabari), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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