Omiya Ardija 3-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-7.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+8.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 26%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
1.18/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.16
-24% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
31.03.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
23.10.2021 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 3-1 HT 2-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
23.05.2021 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-1 HT 1-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
04.11.2020 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 0-1 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
19.08.2020 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija 1-4 HT 0-3 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP2
01.08.2015 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-2 HT 1-2 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
3-0
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 10
236 Passes 290
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija ran out comfortable winners over Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Omiya Ardija as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 42% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 58%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Omiya Ardija had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Omiya Ardija and 1.83 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Omiya Ardija 3-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 44%, draw 26%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Omiya Ardija), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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